Description

This analysis provides a forecast of NEAR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-16 1.994349 2.309691 2.656486 3.065870 3.535651 4.057604 4.681256
2025-02-23 1.456286 1.843710 2.306773 2.899969 3.638662 4.527212 5.676193
2025-03-02 1.085371 1.486878 2.003332 2.714107 3.664597 4.889327 6.584689
2025-03-09 0.882302 1.297124 1.866827 2.702446 3.892483 5.521402 7.914763
2025-03-16 0.709893 1.113548 1.702154 2.617088 3.996610 5.990737 9.081987
2025-03-23 0.634210 1.054330 1.700642 2.758539 4.436371 6.981279 11.116707
2025-03-30 0.561618 0.985452 1.670657 2.847042 4.801684 7.900157 13.156708
2025-04-06 0.486981 0.899196 1.597512 2.851359 5.027419 8.621674 14.968394
2025-04-13 0.401479 0.778884 1.447783 2.701832 4.971182 8.869999 16.022758
2025-04-20 0.365446 0.741383 1.435401 2.788093 5.329461 9.851931 18.436461
2025-04-27 0.341601 0.722627 1.453347 2.930088 5.802857 11.084424 21.430745
2025-05-04 0.310521 0.684222 1.427926 2.984632 6.116719 12.058934 24.057843
2025-05-11 0.278647 0.640356 1.388144 3.010852 6.390268 13.010778 26.798750
2025-05-18 0.240898 0.577516 1.300544 2.927159 6.433300 13.524974 28.754370
2025-05-25 0.204048 0.510101 1.192786 2.784260 6.332700 13.738263 30.126509
2025-06-01 0.184262 0.478874 1.159392 2.798742 6.569481 14.668423 33.090819
2025-06-08 0.161165 0.435513 1.091818 2.725616 6.602165 15.170072 35.199242
2025-06-15 0.154941 0.433459 1.120750 2.882111 7.177467 16.913212 40.225740
2025-06-22 0.145742 0.422048 1.125260 2.980133 7.627995 18.428261 44.910011
2025-06-29 0.132801 0.398257 1.095264 2.988006 7.862075 19.474645 48.632675
2025-07-06 0.113911 0.354402 1.006874 2.833455 7.673311 19.508819 49.970673
2025-07-13 0.107743 0.346151 1.011696 2.924892 8.121400 21.119238 55.295940
2025-07-20 0.104254 0.345297 1.036620 3.074283 8.739648 23.214530 62.047845